Category Archives: International

Comparing Sweden and US’s Tax and Transfer Systems Effect on Inequality

By Grace Kinum and Katie NG

Sweden believes that because everyone contributes to welfare through taxes, everyone deserves equal access to those welfare benefits(“Taxes in Sweden”). Because they want extensive benefits for everyone, this requires higher government spending, and thus, they must increase government revenue through higher taxes, which Sweden is committed to. The United States on the other hand, taxes less and is more market-driven than welfare-driven, and citizens have more responsibility to handle their healthcare, education, and retirement. Sweden’s universal welfare system and the United States’ welfare system are vastly different. The two systems have the same goal: to redistribute wealth and help people in poverty by providing them with healthcare, childcare, and other social benefits. In the United States, these programs are directed at low-income families and individuals who are considered most in need. In comparison, Sweden employs a universal system where the benefits apply to all citizens regardless of financial status. These benefits include: universal healthcare, parental leave, unemployment benefits, and housing allowances and supplements, as well as many others. While some of these benefits are also present in the United States model, the differences have largely contributed to the high standard of living in Sweden. Their emphasis on education and public access to healthcare, which is largely privatized in the United States, has contributed to a highly educated workforce and more equitable wages (OECD). It is up to governments to decide how much to tax and, therefore, how much to spend on reducing this inequality. We compare and contrast Sweden and the United States’ taxation and transfer systems and the effects on inequality to highlight the pros and cons of each system. 

In Sweden, most people pay a local tax on their annual income depending on where they live, but the average local tax rate is around 33% (“Taxes in Sweden”). In contrast, the average individual income tax in the United States is 14.5% (York). Both countries have progressive taxes, meaning that the more taxable income you make, the higher the tax rate that you pay on the marginal dollar. In Sweden, the highest tax is 52.2% (“Sweden Tax Rates and Rankings”), while the highest federal income tax in the US is 37% (Durante). This shows that while both systems have similar structures, Sweden taxes income much more on average, with higher marginal tax rates for higher incomes. 

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The Impact of the 2016 Brexit Referendum on Inflation and Unemployment in the United Kingdom

By Will Childs and Grayson Moniz

In June 2016, the United Kingdom voted to depart from the European Union, a monumental decision known as Brexit. Although their actual departure would not happen until January 2020, it immediately disrupted the nation’s political and financial spheres. The UK had existed and functioned within an integrated European framework for several decades, benefiting from free movement, ease of trade, and coordinated economic governance. Brexit symbolized political segregation from the rest of the EU and a major shift in the nation’s economic proceedings. This structural realignment catalyzed major change in the nation, predominantly through two vital macroeconomic indicators: inflation and unemployment. 

Prior to Brexit, the UK had a relatively stable economy. The Bank of England was responsible for low inflation and a decline in unemployment after the financial crisis of 2008. The decision to depart from the EU shocked the nation’s economy. The pound sterling declined immediately after the votes had been finalized and fell to a 31-year low compared to the US dollar [8]. The falling exchange rate made imports more expensive, raising prices for the consumer and elevating inflation [7]. While the headline unemployment was relatively unaffected by Brexit, labor market dynamics faced growing instability. Specifically in sectors like agriculture, hospitality, and healthcare, which rely on EU workers, shortages became predominant [4]. Additionally, new immigration rules and trade frictions made hiring and production more complicated for producers. 

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The Impact of the 1991 Collapse of the Soviet Union on GDP and Unemployment in Russia

By Will Childs and Grayson Moniz

Throughout the 20th century, the economic proceedings of the Soviet Union were entirely under the jurisdiction of the government. They controlled the nation’s employment, production, and distribution. Most of the nation’s output was dedicated to industrial production and manufacturing at extremely high rates, rather than consumer goods. As a socialist nation, job security was virtually guaranteed, and unemployment was not a quantifiable issue. However, mass employment hindered the productivity and efficiency of the labor force and plagued the economy throughout the nation’s final years. When the Soviet Union collapsed in 1991, it resulted in an unprecedented economic crisis, reflected in massive contractions of GDP and skyrocketing unemployment [1].

Grigorii Khanin’s “Economic Growth in the 1980s,” featured in The Disintegration of the Soviet Economic System (1992) provides valuable context for the conditions that predated the massive recession of the 1990s. He discovered that the nation had many underlying inefficiencies and stagnations that the economy endured prior to 1991, such as the over-centralization of production combined with slow technological innovation (compared to the United States). These factors directly contributed to the eventual dissolution of the union. Khanin’s analysis essentially highlights how certain deep-rooted issues made the USSR’s economy particularly vulnerable to both internal and external pressures.

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The World Cup Dilemma: Prestige at a Price?

By Alexander Kenerson and Henry Mariscal

The World Cup captures the world’s attention and unites fans around the most popular sport on the planet. Featuring the top players from 32 nations, it stands as the pinnacle of international soccer competition. The World Cup has a big influence on national economies through increased tourism, infrastructure investment, and short-term boosts to consumption. Studying it can reveal how large-scale events impact GDP, employment, and economic growth. The World Cup occurs once every four years, gaining the attention of over 1 billion viewers. Brazil was announced the host for the 2014 World Cup in 2007, while Qatar was announced as the host of the 2022 World Cup in 2010. Qatar is a small but wealthy country for its size due to its exports of oil and gas, while Brazil is a very large country with a focus on services. We are studying the effects that hosting a World Cup had on Brazil and Qatar’s labor market and economic growth. We hypothesize that being the host of a World Cup will increase economic growth and expand the labor market. Continue reading

China’s Handing Out Keys, America’s Handing Out Second Jobs

By Alexander Kenerson and Henry Mariscal

The COVID-19 pandemic reshaped the global economy. Supply chains were dismantled, trade ground to a halt, and overall consumption plummeted, making a global recession inevitable. Faced with the urgent task of restarting their economies, governments around the world made critical policy decisions, choices that continue to shape global markets today. Housing markets, considered a cornerstone of economic stability and growth, have experienced some of the most significant impacts.

An article by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia explains how U.S. mortgage rates were affected by the COVID pandemic. This article describes how lending boosted as a result of record low interest rates starting in July 2020 that continued through 2021, with much of the lending coming from refinancing. This was unexpected coming out of the pandemic, as the immediate downturn mixed with high unemployment caused expectations of foreclosures similar to the period of the Great Recession. As a result of this hot housing market and abundance of refinancing, home prices quickly increased. In response to this, mortgage rates increased, slowing down the amount of refinancing and slowing the increase of home prices. Overall, this article illustrates how the change in the United States mortgage rate affected refinancing and home prices in the period after 2020 to an extent where the mortgage rate needed to be raised immediately. Continue reading

An Analysis on the Effect of the 2014-16 Oil Crisis on Real GDP per capita and Unemployment in Nigeria

By Marie Frati and Emalee Ro

Prior to the discovery of oil, Nigeria depended heavily on agricultural exports to supply its economy. Its major exports were cash crops, groundnut, hide, cocoa, coffee, and palm oil (Okotie, 72). Agriculture provided employment for about 30% of the population, and accounted for around 80% of Nigerian export earnings (Okotie, 72). Now, however, the share of agricultural products in total exports is approximately 5.01%, compared to 70% in 1960. While it was once known for its agricultural contributions to the international market, Nigeria is now a net importer of food. Something else–oil–has taken agriculture’s place.

In 1956, Shell-BP discovered commercially viable oil. Crude oil production began soon after that, resulting in over 847,000 tons of crude oil exported in 1960. Over the last four decades, the oil sector has on average accounted for over 90% of total export earnings and over 30% of Nigeria’s GDP (Aigheyisi, 31). Nigeria is currently Africa’s largest oil producer and a significant global oil exporter, with most of its oil going to Asia, Europe, and South America. The discovery of crude oil has had a substantial impact on the economic structure of Nigeria.  Continue reading