Category Archives: GENERAL ELECTION [A QUEST FOR ELECTORS] [2020]

The Limits of the Invisible Primary

The Limits of the Invisible Primary

 

This article looks into the limits of the invisible party. One limit that this article mentions  is that some politicians look like they are succeeding during the “invisible primary” but end up failing miserably when voters arrive. The article looks at Hillary Clinton and Rudy Giuliani in 2008, and Jeb Bush and Marco Rubio in 2016. They raised large sums, generated support, and generated lots of media support during the invisible primary but never really stood a chance.

General Election: 1992 Election and the Electoral College

1992 election: https://www.britannica.com/event/United-States-presidential-election-of-1992

This article gives a great overview of the 1992 election and emphasizes several important points we’ve covered in class.  Bill Clinton (Democrat) defeated George HW Bush (Republican incumbent), as well as Ross Perot (third party independent candidate).  While Clinton won the electoral college fairly handily (370 electors against 168 for Bush and 0 for Perot), this election was notable for the popularity of third-party candidate Ross Perot.  Despite clearly winning a majority of electors, Clinton only won 43% of the popular vote (compared to Bush’s 37.4% and Perot’s 18.9%).  Some may argue these election results reinforce support for the electoral college – in the event a Presidential candidate only garners a plurality of the popular vote (and not a majority), the electoral college provides a method of measurement that lends a majority of support to a candidate.  While this election method may reinforce a two-party system, and prevent third-party candidates from having a viable chance at winning the Presidency, there may be value in maintaining a system that prevents a candidate from winning election based on a mere plurality of the popular electorate.

Electoral College

https://www.cnn.com/2020/12/19/politics/electoral-college-analysis/index.html This article explains why the electoral college is likely to remain in place. It is important to note that if no candidate receives a majority, the election will go to the House of Representatives. Back in the 1968 election, this almost occurred. George Wallace gained 14% of the popular vote and some Southern states however, Nixon still remained on top. At this point in history, many people pushed to change the system in support of the popular vote. There was actually a constitutional amendment to approve the popular vote which was passed by the House in 1969 and supported by Nixon. However, it was shut down by the Senate and this is the last time the U.S. has ever come close to making this shift.